Last updated: 10 February 2021
Trevor Lawrence, Clemson, QB
The Jaguars are so talent-deficient that they need to apply a best player available strategy throughout the draft. A great start to that will be finding themselves a starting quarterback to finally be the face of this franchise.
Trevor Lawrence is one of the best quarterback prospects to head to the NFL for a number of years and despite there being a number of other high end signal callers in this draft, it will be a huge shock if Lawrence’s name wasn’t the first to be called, despite Urban Meyer’s links to Ohio State.
Lawrence is a dual threat quarterback who has shown throughout his college career that he can make all the throws, make plays on the run, and lead his team to victory from all sorts of situations.
New York Jets
Penei Sewell, Oregon, OT
I’m still totally lost on what I think the Jets will do with this pick. There is obviously a significantly large group of people who think that the Jets will move on from Sam Darnold this offseason, and they very well might be right.
I did previously have Zach Wilson going here and I could still definitely see that being the pick, but I’ve gone with Penei Sewell here.
Sewell, as an offensive tackle, has a high level of positional value and again is among the best players to enter the NFL at his position in the last decade.
Giving their quarterback some improved protection would surely give whoever is running the offense a much greater chance of success and if Joe Douglas and Robert Saleh believe they can build around their young signal caller then Sewell makes a whole load of sense with this pick.
DeVonta Smith, Alabama, WR
This pick comes to the Dolphins from the Houston Texans thanks to the Laremy Tunsil and Kenny Stills trade.
With Wilson and Fields both still on the board, chances are that the Dolphins are taking a raft of calls about trading down right about now, but seeing as we don’t project trades in this mock they’re going to have to make a selection.
That choice is Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith who would give Tua and this offense an exceptional playmaking talent would surely add some excitement in South Florida.
Smith has run a vast route tree and has elite ability to get separation thanks to his quick first step and immediate burst off the line. The Bama connection to Tua surely will help him get up to speed with this offense, and on the same page as his quarterback, sooner rather than later.
Justin Fields, Ohio State, QB
With a new Head Coach and GM in position, it’ll be really interesting to see how the Falcons approach drafting at this fourth overall pick.
If they like another of the top quarterbacks enough to bring them in, either to replace or sit behind Matt Ryan for a year or two, then that may be the statement the new duo needs to make to put their mark on this franchise.
Here, that’s exactly what we predict they’ll do, taking Ohio State’s Justin Fields who, for us, is still the number two quarterback in this draft.
He’ll start the season as Matt Ryan’s backup, as Matty Ice’s contract means he won’t be going anywhere in the short term, but Fields will assume the mantle of heir apparent and ensure the Falcons have a succession plan in place at the most important position in football.
Ja’Marr Chase, LSU, WR
Bengals fan have got to like what they’ve seen from last year’s number one overall pick Joe Burrow – aside from the number of times he got pressured, sacked, and ultimately hurt.
The ideal scenario for the Bengals here is that Penei Sewell is still on the board, likely due to a run on quarterbacks ahead of them.
Here that option isn’t available to them and so priority number two has to be adding more talent around Burrow and the opportunity to do exactly what the Dolphins have done at #3 and add a guy already in sync with their QB is too good for the Bengals to pass up.
Ja’Marr Chase is a legitimate #1 wideout with good size, speed and burst. He can run the entire route tree and is strong enough to make catches when under pressure too.
Patrick Surtain II, Alabama, CB
The Eagles are desperately in need of help in their secondary. The signing of Darius Slay really hasn’t worked out how they would have planned as he’s been nothing like the player he was in Detroit.
Patrick Surtain has all the right traits to be a shut-down corner in the NFL and has already shown he can perform at a high level against some of the best receivers in the SEC.
Kyle Pitts, Florida, TE
My initial reaction to the Lions trading away Matthew Stafford and acquiring Jared Goff was that if the Lions had a shot at one of the top quarterbacks in this draft then they’d absolutely be taking him here with this pick.
The more I reflect however, the more I believe Goff will be the Lions starter in 2021 and that they’ll go elsewhere with this draft choice.
Kyle Pitts has undoubted top 10 talent and skill an if the Lions want to look to add a playmaker here, which they should, then it’s Pitts ahead of any of the remaining receivers for me.
Pitts will be a moveable chess piece for the Lions offense, able to line up outside at times as well as in the slot and tight to the offensive line as well. He can also block if needed, but his value comes from his receiving ability.
Zach Wilson, BYU, QB
Matt Rhule’s squad drafted entirely defense in 2020, so you might reasonably expect this pick to go on an offensive player.
In this mock that is exactly what they do, taking BYU quarterback Zach Wilson who has a cannon for an arm and who showed in 2020 that his development levels are exceptional and that he’s still got some untapped potential.
He’ll be set to take the place of Teddy Bridgewater who didn’t give this offense anything like the sort of spark they were hoping for when they brought him in last year.
You can be sure that Wilson will.
Micah Parsons, Penn State, LB
The Broncos need help on defense and given that 7 offensive players have been drafted before its their turn to make a selection, they’ve almost got their pick of the bunch when it comes to that side of the ball.
The obvious choice is do-it-all linebacker Micah Parsons who is a sure fire tackler, can rush the quarterback, and can drop into coverage when needed as well.
Parsons is the very definition of a prototypical 3-down linebacker who could be the future leader of this defense.
Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech
Despite adding Trevor Diggs in round two last year the Cowboys secondary has continued to struggle, and new defensive coordinator Dan Quinn knows all about having a rubbish secondary and the problems that can cause you from his time in Atlanta.
Enter Caleb Farley, a rangy corner who could well be the best in this draft class (despite being selected after Surtain here). Farley matched up well against leading receivers in college and will believe he’s capable of doing the same in the NFL.
New York Giants
Gregory Rousseau, Miami, EDGE
The New York Giants’ Super Bowl winning sides of 2008 and 2012 were built on a foundation of being able to get pressure on quarterbacks in the same way as the Bucs did to Patrick Mahomes in Super Bowl LV.
This current Giants’ squad can’t do that with any sort of regularity so adding Miami’s Gregory Rousseau who sat out the 2020 season due to concerns over COVID-19 would be a great selection for them.
Rousseau is a freakish athlete who shows up on tape but also is still developing his set of moves as well as filling out his frame and adding a bit of weight. If he’s able to do that without losing any of his burst, he’ll be an absolute handful in the NFL.
San Francisco 49ers
Trey Lance, North Dakota State, QB
There’s no smoke without fire – and the more the 49ers are seemingly making enquiries for other quarterbacks in trades, the more I believe John Lynch and Kyle Shanahan would prefer to have someone other than Jimmy Garropolo as their starter.
Clearly this could be a lot of media prognostication which Lynch and Shanahan are happy to go along with if it hides their true draft intentions, but I’m not buying that right now.
Instead, with Trey Lance available here, the 49ers go ahead and draft their quarterback of the future. Lance has a cannon for an arm, loves to throw the ball downfield and makes some incredible throws look very easy indeed.
Los Angeles Chargers
Christian Darrisaw, Virginia Tech, OT
New Head Coach Brandon Staley’s first job is going to be to get the best out of 2020 first round pick Justin Herbert.
In order to do that he’s got to ensure that he’s protecting the 2020 Rookie of the Year and so adding Christian Darrisaw at this point in the draft would be a very good idea indeed.
Darrisaw would fit nicely on either side of the Chargers offensive line and give the Chargers an instant upgrade at either spot – something Herbert would surely be delighted about.
Mac Jones, Alabama, QB
Given the continued presence of Kirk Cousins on the Vikings roster, a quarterback might not be the first thing most people would think this franchise might go after in the draft.
But with Mac Jones still on the board here, if they believe he can be a Super Bowl winning QB (which I think everyone does) then they can be in no doubt that he’s better than Cousins who has never even really looked like taking a team on a playoff run.
Jones is an exceptional reader of a defense and is a proper football-smart kind of guy. Sure he’s not quite got those extra couple of inches you’d like on his height, but that never bothered Drew Brees – and that’s precisely the sort of comparison you’re going to continue to hear for Jones throughout this draft process.
New England Patriots
Christian Barmore, Alabama, DT
The Belichick – Saban connection strikes again as the Patriots pick up another Alabama defensive star.
When it comes to the defensive tackle position in this draft there’s nobody else in Barmore’s class, so if you want someone at that position in this draft who is ready to play in week one then Barmore needs to be your guy.
The Patriots recognise the need to build from the trenches and Barmore has shown his ability to be disruptive and to get himself into opposing backfields time and again.
Jaycee Horn, South Carolina, CB
The Cardinals really struggled against the pass in 2020 and with Patrick Peterson being a free agent this offseason, their secondary could be about to get worse before it gets better.
Jaycee Horn is a super-physical corner who stands at 6’1 and has both the size and athleticism to cover some of the bigger receivers in the NFL.
He also has NFL bloodlines, being the son of former Saints receiver Jay Horn, and if he’s anything like his dad he’ll definitely bring some attitude to this team.
Las Vegas Raiders
Wyatt Davis, Ohio State, OG
The fact that the Raiders keep trying to bring 37 year old Richie Incognito back should tell you all you need to know about the interior of their offensive line.
Wyatt Davis is a prototypical guard in terms of his size and build, and his skill set also projects well to the NFL. This is almost a no-brainer of a selection.
Rashawn Slater, Northwestern, OT
Before I take a load of heat for this pick I know the Dolphins took Austin Jackson late in round one last year, but setting Tua up for future success has to be the Dolphins priority in this draft.
Letting Jackson man Tua’s left side and having Rashawn Slater on the right side of the line (his blindside) would give Miami a pair of bookends that they’d hope to rely on for the next decade.
Washington Football Team
Kyle Trask, Florida, QB
Washington started four different quarterbacks in 2020 – Dwayne Haskins, Kyle Allen, Alex Smith and Tyler Heinecke. They’ll surely hope Smith is coming back in 2021 but the rest of that group are either already off the team or have major question marks surrounding them.
Kyle Trask going at this point may raise some eyebrows but there can be no doubting the level of competition he’s played against in the SEC and his arm strength and accuracy can’t be doubted either.
Sure he may not be the most mobile, and that’s one of the reasons why he’s not discussed in the upper echelons of this QB class, but this franchise needs a guy they can hang their hat on at the quarterback position and Trask could very well be that guy.
Jaylen Waddle, Alabama, WR
The Bears have suffered from below-average quarterback play for years – so much so that Chicago would give almost anything to have the Jay Cutler years back.
Unfortunately for the Bears all of the top QBs are off the board and with Washington grabbing Kyle Trask just ahead of them, there really is no option here.
In this scenario we’ve got Chicago drafting themselves a top playmaker in Jaylen Waddle, who in partnership with DeVonta Smith formed the best duo in college football this year by a country mile.
Alex Leatherwood, Alabama, OT
The retirement of Philip Rivers leaves Indianapolis in search of a quarterback for the second successive offseason but again they’re not in position to draft one here in the first round.
The other major retirement the Colts have to face up to this offseason is that of Anthony Castonzo who has locked down the left side of their offensive line for a number of years.
Alex Leatherwood would come straight in and slot into that position immediately. He needs a bit of finessing in pass protection, which is why he’s not higher up everyone’s board, but he’s got all the tools to be a 10-year starter like the guy he’d be replacing.
Kwity Paye, Michigan, EDGE
The Titans picked up Jadeveon Clowney last year to bolster their pass rush but that move hasn’t really worked out for them so far and adding to their pass rush will surely be on the agenda again this offseason.
Kwity Paye is an excellent athlete who could play either as a traditional defensive end or as an outside linebacker behind a 3-man defensive front. Paye has an array of moves to help him beat offensive linemen, though he could do with becoming slightly more stout in the run game.
New York Jets
Carlos Basham Jr, Wake Forest, EDGE
Given the paucity of talent across this roster the Jets would be wise to adopt a best player available strategy to this draft.
Carlos Basham Jr definitely ticks that box here at #23 – the pick the Jets received from the Seahawks as part of the Jamal Adams trade – as well as representing a position of need for New York.
Basham is big enough to be strong against the run and also to slide inside and add extra penetration from that spot on passing downs. He’s also notched up a solid number of sacks and tackles for loss over the last few years, showing his disruptiveness and athleticism in doing so.
Najee Harris, Alabama, RB
The Steelers have already come out and said that they need to commit more to the run game, and improve that side of their play in 2021.
Some of that is strategic and some comes down to offensive line play but they’ve also not had a runner who you’d write home about since Le’Veon Bell.
People will say that there’s limited positional value in drafting a running back in the first round and in normal circumstances they’d be right – but these aren’t normal circumstances.
Najee Harris is very reminiscent of fellow Crimson Tide alum Derrick Henry. He’s a powerful downhill runner who has impressive speed and an ability to be a 3 down back in the NFL.
Sam Cosmi, Texas, OT
By simply drafting the best player available throughout this draft the Jaguars are likely to be able to improve their roster, as there’s no position at which you would say they’ve got elite starters.
Protecting the investment they made with the first overall pick would be a smart move, and Sam Cosmi is an experienced starter who plays with a mean streak and could be a hugely valuable part of the Jaguars’ rebuild.
Asante Samuel Jr, Florida State, CB
With the highly rated Denzel Ward on one side, cornerback wouldn’t be the first position you would necessarily think of as being an area of need for Cleveland.
But in an ever more pass-happy league where more DBs are on the field for more snaps than in years gone by, if the best player available at your draft slot happens to play the position then you should probably take him.
Asante Samuel Jr is the son of the eponymous former Patriots, Eagles and Falcons corner who went to multiple ProBowls and won a couple of SuperBowls – so you’d expect him to know a thing or two about what it takes.
Rashod Bateman, Minnesota, WR
John Harbaugh has already come out and said that he would love to add a tall possession receiver during this offseason to give them another alternative in the passing game.
Rashod Bateman fits that mould perfectly – he’s got good hands and isn’t afraid of making catches in traffic across the middle of the field.
His addition would make this Ravens offense even more difficult to play against than it already is!
New Orleans Saints
Jeremiah Owusu-Koromoah, Notre Dame, LB
The Saints had a pretty good defense in 2020 but there’s no doubting that their linebacker corps could definitely do with an upgrade or two.
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah was everywhere for the Notre Dame defense as they made it into the College Football Playoff. The Butkus Award winner might well be off the the board by this point, but if he isn’t then New Orleans has to snap him up.
Green Bay Packers
Kadarius Toney, Florida, WR
I know this doesn’t tend to fit the Green Bay mould, but imagine what Aaron Rodgers could do with a Swiss Army knife-style playmaker on offense.
Kadarius Toney is exactly that. He’s electric, he can line up anywhere and make plays, and his ability to make defenders miss is something that will give defensive coordinators nightmares.
Travis Etienne, Clemson, RB
The Bills leading rusher in 2020 was Devin Singletary with 687 yards, leaving him not that far ahead of his quarterback Josh Allen.
With that in mind, and with Travis Etienne still on the board, joining the dots here didn’t really take too much effort.
Etienne runs hard and adds value as a receiver out of the backfield too and would give the Bills an additional dimension to build into this offense.
Kansas City Chiefs
Alijah Vera-Tucker, USC, OG
Andrew Wylie, Stefen Wisniewski, Daniel Kilgore, and Austin Reiter are all free agents this offseason so its probably a safe assumption that they won’t all stick around in Kansas City – especially after that performance in the Super Bowl.
Drafting Alijah Vera-Tucker at the end of day one would give the Chiefs another potential week one starter – something they’ve been particularly good at getting from their drafts recently.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Zaven Collins, Tulsa, EDGE
Congratulations to the Bucs on their Super Bowl victory – one that was built on the performance of their electric defense and a certain Tom Brady on offense.
Both Shaq Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul could leave Tampa Bay this offseason – Barrett is a free agent and JPP turns 33 and so the Bucs could look to go younger at pass rusher.
If they do, Zaven Collins would be a great choice here – he’s quick and a high energy player who just seems to love chasing quarterbacks.
|33||Jacksonville Jaguars||Jaelen Phillips||Miami||EDGE|
|34||New York Jets||Javonte Williams||North Carolina||RB|
|35||Atlanta Falcons||Joseph Ossai||Texas||EDGE|
|36||Miami Dolphins||Daviyon Nixon||Iowa||DT|
|37||Philadelphia Eagles||Terrace Marshall||LSU||WR|
|38||Cincinnati Bengals||Jalen Mayfield||Michigan||OT|
|39||Carolina Panthers||Creed Humphrey||Oklahoma||C|
|40||Denver Broncos||Azeez Ojulari||Georgia||EDGE|
|41||Detroit Lions||Nick Bolton||Missouri||LB|
|42||New York Giants||Rondale Moore||Purdue||WR|
|43||San Francisco 49ers||Shaun Wade||Ohio State||CB|
|44||Dallas Cowboys||Marvin Wilson||Florida State||DT|
|45||Jacksonville Jaguars||Trevon Moehrig||TCU||FS|
|46||New England Patriots||Dylan Moses||Alabama||OLB|
|47||Los Angeles Chargers||Jayson Oweh||Penn State||EDGE|
|48||Las Vegas Raiders||Levi Onwuzurike||Washington||DT|
|49||Arizona Cardinals||Deonte Brown||Alabama||OG|
|50||Miami Dolphins||Tyson Campbell||Georgia||CB|
|51||Washington Football Team||Liam Eichenberg||Notre Dame||OT|
|52||Chicago Bears||Walker Little||Stanford||OT|
|53||Tennessee Titans||Elijah Moore||Mississippi||WR|
|54||Indianapolis Colts||Joe Tryon||Washington||EDGE|
|55||Pittsburgh Steelers||Dillon Radunz||North Dakota State||OT|
|56||Seattle Seahawks||Teven Jenkins||Oklahoma State||OT|
|57||Los Angeles Rams||Jackson Carman||Clemson||OT|
|58||Baltimore Ravens||Andre Cisco||Syracuse||FS|
|59||Cleveland Browns||Quincy Roche||Miami||EDGE|
|60||New Orleans Saints||Amon-Ra St. Brown||USC||WR|
|61||Buffalo Bills||Jabril Cox||LSU||OLB|
|62||Green Bay Packers||Eric Stokes||Georgia||CB|
|63||Kansas City Chiefs||Pat Freiermuth||Penn State||TE|
|64||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||Alim McNeill||NC State||DT|
|65||Jacksonville Jaguars||Tutu Atwell||Louisville||WR|
|66||New York Jets||Cameron McGrone||Michigan||ILB|
|67||Houston Texans||Trey Smith||Tennessee||OG|
|68||Atlanta Falcons||Michael Carter||North Carolina||RB|
|69||Cincinnati Bengals||Hamilcar Rashed||Oregon State||EDGE|
|70||Philadelphia Eagles||Rashad Weaver||Pitt||EDGE|
|71||Denver Broncos||Jay Tufele||USC||DT|
|72||Detroit Lions||Marquez Stevenson||Houston||WR|
|73||Carolina Panthers||Rodarius Williams||Oklahoma State||CB|
|74||Washington Football Team||Patrick Jones II||Pitt||EDGE|
|75||Dallas Cowboys||Paris Ford||Pitt||FS|
|76||New York Giants||Greg Newsome II||Northwestern||CB|
|77||New England Patriots||PICK FORFEITED||N/A||N/A|
|78||Los Angeles Chargers||Israel Mukuamu||South Carolina||CB|
|79||Minnesota Vikings||Landon Dickerson||Alabama||C|
|80||Arizona Cardinals||Kenny Gainwell||Memphis||RB|
|81||Las Vegas Raiders||Jevon Holland||Oregon||FS|
|82||Miami Dolphins||Chuba Hubbard||Oklahoma State||RB|
|83||Washington Football Team||Elijah Molden||Washington||CB|
|84||Chicago Bears||Jaylen Twyman||Pitt||DT|
|85||Indianapolis Colts||Aaron Robinson||UCF||CB|
|86||Tennessee Titans||Paulson Adebo||Stanford||CB|
|87||New York Jets||Tylan Wallace||Oklahoma State||WR|
|88||Pittsburgh Steelers||Brevin Jordan||Miami||TE|
|89||Detroit Lions||Richie Grant||UCF||S|
|90||Cleveland Browns||Josh Myers||Ohio State||C|
|91||Minnesota Vikings||Hamsah Nasirildeen||Florida State||SS|
|92||Cleveland Browns||Caden Sterns||Texas||S|
|93||Green Bay Packers||Brady Christensen||BYU||OT|
|94||Buffalo Bills||Tyler Shelvin||LSU||DT|
|95||Kansas City Chiefs||Chazz Surratt||North Carolina||OLB|
|96||Tampa Bay Buccaneers||Jaret Patterson||Buffalo||RB|